With 2025 coming to an end, the former president's supportive approach towards digital currency has not proven to suffice to support the sector's advances, previously the driver behind market-wide hope and enthusiasm. The final quarter of the year have seen roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization wiped from the digital asset market, despite bitcoin reaching an all-time-high price above $125,000 in early October.
The October price peak proved temporary. The flagship cryptocurrency's value tumbled just days later following a declaration of 100% tariffs against Chinese goods created turmoil throughout financial markets on October 12th. The crypto market experienced an unprecedented $19 billion wiped out within a day – a record-setting liquidation event on record. Ethereum, saw a 40% drop in value over the next month.
The industry was delivered the supportive administration it had anticipated throughout the election. Shortly after inauguration, a presidential directive was issued rolling back limitations against digital assets and introduced new favorable regulations as well as a federal task force on digital assets.
“Cryptocurrency is a vital component for technological progress and economic development in the United States, as well as America's international leadership,” the order read.
Again in spring, the announcement of a cryptocurrency reserve fueled a significant market surge, with prices for several named coins soaring more than sixty percent. Bitcoin itself rose ten percent immediately following the news.
Digital assets is sensitive to market sentiment and confidence in global markets, noted a leading analyst. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an investment that does better when investors are feeling confident regarding economic conditions and are ready to assume greater risk.
“The administration might support crypto, however, trade wars and rising interest rates outweigh positive vibes,” the analyst added. “And it’s also a stark reminder, especially for those in the sector, that macro forces really matter more than political stances.”
In November, bitcoin suffered its biggest drop in value in several years, pushing its price to less than $81,000. While bitcoin regained some of that value subsequently, the start of the final month with another slump, a six percent fall triggered by a leading corporate holder cutting its earnings forecast due to falling crypto prices. Bitcoin’s price now hovers near $90,000.
Some experts are concerned the industry is entering what's termed crypto winter, an era of low activity and declining prices. The last such downturn persisted from the end of 2021 into 2023. That period witnessed Bitcoin fall around seventy percent from its peak.
“The recent crash isn’t a change in sentiment, but a collision of several key issues: the aftershocks of a $19bn leverage washout; investors fleeing risk driven by US-China tariff tensions; and, importantly, the possible unwinding of corporate crypto holdings,” explained a lab founder.
Another potential factor that may have shaken the crypto market is the decline in values of artificial intelligence companies. “A key reason why bitcoin is tied to the AI cycle is that many mining operations have diversified their energy towards new datacenters,” an expert said. “That negative sentiment often spills over into crypto.”
Amid the worries about a bear market, prominent leaders in the crypto space voiced optimism in the future worth of the currency. A top CEO remarked “it is impossible” Bitcoin's value would hit zero and that 2025 will be remembered as the year “when crypto went from a fringe market to a mainstream institution”. A separate noted increased investment from institutional investors.
Some believe the current decline is not inconsistent with historical four-year bitcoin cycles and that a much more sustained downturn may not be imminent.
“From the perspective at it from standard market cycle, we are currently in a downtrend,” said one analyst. “However, it's clear, despite these major headwinds impacting markets, it has held to maintain a level well above eighty thousand dollars.”